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Thursday, Buscanso However, it's something we do quite a bit of have you seen our work on election prediction - Brexit, Trump, UKGermany etc - we got them all right so I went along Mujeres Halmstad estados unidos buscando novio latino the NESTA Futurescoping event on Massage celebration Tullinge last night see what they had Craigslist personal Trollhattan I could steal to offer.
There were 4 talks on various ways of predicting the future, or more accurately 4 ways of making scenarios reading entrails of dead animals is still outre, but with the return to the Age of Korean spa Jonkoping we are seeing I wouln't be surprised it it Halmdtad a comeback, albeit maybe with dead plants. For example Cat did one session on blockchain visualisation using a blood transfusion drone made of felt and other blue petery stuff to stimulate thoughts of what electronic vampire?
Whether you agree with the approach or not In my experience with Tech you do often do have to build a Future Thing for people to be able to think concretely about, and this looks useful for that - but it's risky to abstract the results too far without doing the hard sums His view is that a scenario is an Mujeres Halmstad estados unidos buscando novio latino vision - doesn't have to be correct, but you need a range including a best and worst.
So far same old same old, but his approach is to use the play as a vehicle to slip in the assumptions and outcomes as just part of teh narrative.
This evening he acted out making a nature documentary in the future, but members of the audience had Mujeres Halmstad estados unidos buscando novio latino answer assumptions on the role of nature reserves in the future, impact of tourism, and the various other assumptions about the future, using the play-acting as a vehicle to sideways slide in the assumptions of the real scenario, ie the setup conditions as part of the building the Ostermalm model 840, and the edenouemaent is anarrative end of teh reults of the various 2x2 essumption matrices.
Overall impression - the evening seemed a bit heavy on the qualitative and light on the quantitative, my experience is Mujeres Halmstad estados unidos buscando novio latino some point someone with the power of decision making says "show me the numbers behind the grand vision" which is where simulation type modelling has an advantageso while I could see how some of the more narrative approaches could really help the envisioning.
I think - as Cat noted in the first talk - always base your scenarios on evidence of research. Posted by Alan Patrick at Comments Trackbacks 0 hits. Trackback specific URI for this entry.
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